Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Keifitz problem is solved

она, правда, была примером применения логарифма, но, тем не менее, осталась и часто обсуждалась на просторах сетевых ресурсов

This article is an updated version of one of the most popular features on PRB’s website, estimating the number of people who have ever been born. We first made this estimate in 1995, with updates in 2002 and 2011.

решила Toshiko Kaneda из PRB (на фотке)

Решение:
Given the current global population of about 7.5 billion (based on our most recent estimate as of mid-2017), that means those of us currently alive represent about 7 percent of the total number of humans who have ever lived.
PRB estimates that by 2050 about 113 billion people will have ever lived on Earth. 

How Many People Have Ever Lived?


YearPopulationBirths per 1,000Births Between BenchmarksNumber Ever BornPercent of Those Ever Born
50,000 B.C.E.2
8000 B.C.E.5,000,000801,137,789,7691,137,789,7690.4
1 C.E.300,000,0008046,025,332,35447,163,122,1250.6
1200450,000,0006026,591,343,00073,754,465,1250.6
1650500,000,0006012,782,002,45386,536,467,5780.6
1750795,000,000503,171,931,51389,708,399,0910.9
18501,265,000,000404,046,240,00993,754,639,1001.3
19001,656,000,000402,900,237,85696,654,876,9561.7
19502,516,000,00031-383,390,198,215100,045,075,1712.5
19955,760,000,000315,427,305,000105,472,380,1715.5
20116,987,000,000232,130,327,622107,602,707,7936.5
20177,536,000,00019867,982,322108,470,690,1156.9
20308,563,000,000161,806,595,106110,277,285,2217.8
20509,846,000,000152,833,529,982113,110,815,2038.7

Note: The estimates for those ever born apply only to live births; still births are not counted.
Source: Toshiko Kaneda and Genevieve Dupuis, 2017 World Population Data Sheet (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, 2017); United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision (New York: United Nations, 2017).


там ещё довольно много текста

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