Tuesday, April 15, 2014

depopulation in the European part of Russia

The paper introduces the results of a statistical analysis of two components of depopulation, movement through migration and the natural growth of population in the European part of the Russian Federation during the period 1990-2010. The analysis also involves a breakdown by nationality, which is seen to be a driver of quantitative change. A typology analysis is presented with consideration given to trends to demographic growth or decline. The outcome of an analysis via Webb’s typology [если кто в курсе -- что это такое? дайте знать, пож] indicates that depopulation occurs due to natural decline with an increasing role of migration as a driver of depopulation.

4 comments:

  1. Друг гугл утверждает что поляки эту типологию любят (видел на ряде польских ссылок класифицирующих регионы по Веббу)
    и ссылаются на эту работу:
    Webb J.W., The Natural and Migrational Components of Population Changes in England and Wales 1921-1931, Economic Geography, 39,2, 1963.

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    Replies
    1. На JSTOR есть:
      http://www.jstor.org/stable/142506
      так что можно и в pdf скачать.

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    2. эта типология представлена на странице 132 (рисунок 1) - разделение на растущие и убывающие и
      8 подтипов:
      a Increase. natural gain exceeds net out-migration
      b Increase: natural gain exceeds net in-migration
      c Increase: net in-migration exceeds natural gain
      d Increase: net in-migration exceeds natural loss

      e Decrease: natural loss exceeds net in-migration
      f Decrease: natural loss exceeds net out-migration
      g Decrease: net out-migration exceeds natural loss
      h Decrease: net out-migration exceeds natural gain

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    3. оп, ясно
      спасибо большое

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