Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Female-Male gap in life expectancy at birth

Probabilistic projections of the gap between female and male life expectancy at birth
Female-Male gap in life expectancy at birth (in years): Median, 80% and 95% prediction intervals *

Explanation: These charts of the gains in life expectancy at birth are from the Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling (BHM) of life expectancy at birth that has been carried out with estimates of life expectancy from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic double-logistic trajectories is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 1,450,000 trajectories.
* For countries having ever experienced 2.4 per cent or more adult HIV prevalence during the period 1980 to 2013, prediction intervals (e.g. 80% and 95%) are based on probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth (with non-informative country priors) where the median trajectory for each country has been adjusted to the 2015 WPP deterministic projection that incorporates the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality.

неочевидно как-то, см источник

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